In April 2007 I watched a mid-table Aston Villa destroy Middlesbrough and I came back to F365 Towers singing their praises to a sceptical Villan who had only just stopped panicking about a relegation battle that had not and would never materialise. He had all the doubts associated with long-suffering fandom, but I insisted I had just seen a team that would be in Europe within two years.
I wrote an article saying as much - a companion piece to my report in a national newspaper that suggested Villa had produced a performance the equal of any other in the top flight that weekend, with particular praise being reserved for the irrepressible Gaby Agbonlahor (who I had previously seen only on loan at Sheffield Wednesday and had summarily dismissed as a speedy but essentially headless chicken).
I bring this up not only to applaud my prescience in the face of not-unreasonable doubt, but because it's now time to re-assess Martin O'Neill's side and suggest that actually, I may have underestimated their potential. Never mind fifth, this is a team that could qualify for the Champions League.
It was less than 18 months ago that O'Neill's first-choice side included Craig Gardner and Shaun Maloney, while jobbing professionals like Aaron Hughes and Luke Moore came off the bench. Agbonlahor, Martin Laursen and Gareth Barry were impressive, but the team had a lack of quality beyond the four or five players who were top-six material.
Now look at the bench from Wednesday's win over Blackburn and you will see John Carew, Steve Sidwell, Marlon Harewood, Zat Knight, Curtis Davies and Gardner. Show me better back-up for any Premier League side and I'll show you a Champions League club.
Of course Villa have spent money to be in this position - over £30m in the summer that puts them in the same bracket as Liverpool, Manchester City, Manchester United, Tottenham and curiously Sunderland - but there was no flabby spending and no risks taken. Of the eight players through the door this summer, six had Premier League experience and five were English. This may be Premier League management by numbers (getting the best English full-backs on the market does not suggest imagination) but it is Premier League management that works.
Can they finish in the top four? A kneejerk reaction says not, because we are all conditioned to think that way - with Everton's gatecrashing an anomaly consigned to history - but I now beg to differ. This Villa side is twice that Everton team, which - lest we forget - featured Marcus Bent up front, David Weir and Alan Stubbs as the default centre-half partnership and an awful lot of 1-0 wins.
By contrast, this Villa side is one of only two (with the other being Arsenal) that boasts a pair of strikers with at least five Premier League goals this season. They have a central defender in Laursen that would improve the Gunners at a stroke and a winger in Ashley Young who is currently the best in England in that role. And the likes of Barry, Reo-Coker, Milner and arejuvenated Stilian Petrov are no mugs either.
They might have been dismissed by Chelsea with little fuss, but Villa don't need to challenge Chelsea to finish in the top four. Defeat to Stoke was a blow but wins over West Brom, Wigan, Sunderland, Spurs and Blackburn since show that such slips against lowlier opposition will be rare. They are yet to drop a single point from a winning position, something which neither ManYoo nor Arsenal can boast.
And unlike Arsenal, Villa are likely to spend again in January, with O'Neill admitting he wants to push on and the eminently sensible Randy Lerner suggestion that the chequebook is open with a view to the riches the Champions League can offer. Emile Heskey is apparently a target and while that might not be the kind of signing that Arsene Wenger would ponder, it is the kind of signing that could see Villa usurp the Gunners in the top four.


